Service Plays Wednesday 4/1410

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

<!-- / icon and title --> <!-- message --> New Addition to Service Play Forum..Specifically for posting additional topics.

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

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I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

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Thank you, wilheim




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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks

If you bought tickets to this Eastern Conference clash a couple months ago, hoping that these teams would be fighting for playoff position on the final day of the regular season, you might feel a little cheated.

Don’t expect either the Cavaliers or Hawks to field their starters for more than a handful minutes at the most. But, before you see what you can get for the tickets on craigslist, consider that this might be the last regular season game for one of the NBA’s all-time greatest players.

Veteran center Shaquille O’Neal is expected to return to action versus Atlanta after missing the last month and a half after having surgery on his injured thumb. Shaq is rumored to play about 20 minutes in order to work some of the rust off before the postseason begins. There is also talk that James could see a little floor time for the first time in three games.

"They probably wouldn't play the whole game on Wednesday, so are we going to be that much better because they played 20 minutes together?," coach Mike Brown told reporters. "Maybe they will, maybe they won't. I keep going back and forth."

A little LeBron and Shaq is better than none.

Pick: Cleveland


Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder

The Thunder have their plane ride to Los Angeles booked for the first round of the NBA Playoffs and Kevin Durant has the league’s scoring title in the bag.

That doesn’t leave much motivation for Wednesday’s game against the Grizzlies.

Oklahoma City heads into the regular season finale off back-to-back losses. The team fought hard down the home stretch of the schedule, hoping to avoid the eighth spot. But with a date with the reigning champs locked in, bettors should expect the Thunder to take it easy at home to Memphis.

Durant and the starters will be limited at most, putting the load on a bench that ranked second-last in the NBA in bench scoring. The reserves averaged just 27 points with guys like James Harden and Eric Maynor providing the bulk of those numbers.

Things could get ugly at the Ford Center Wednesday.

Pick: Memphis

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins (-210, 5.5)

If the Ottawa Senators are going to put poor postseason performances behind them, they’ll have to dethrone the reigning Stanley Cup champs in the first round of the Eastern Conference playoffs.

Heading into Game 1, the Sens are weighing the best way to attack one of the NHL’s most explosive teams. And as game time ticks closer, the game plan appears to key on the most important members of Pittsburgh’s star-studded lineup and let the role players do the damage.

“It really starts in neutral zone,” defenseman Chris Phillips told the Ottawa Citizen when asked about stopping Penguins star Sidney Crosby. “There’s a strong focus to try and take away his space there and to have somebody close to deter his teammates from trying to give him the puck, where he can create a lot of speed and carry that into the offensive zone. Obviously, we have to be aware when he’s on the ice. It’s not just the two defensemen, it’s all five guys, it’s being extra focused.”

Crosby has been the motor for the Penguins offense all season but stepped up his production in the final games of the season while chasing both the goal scoring and points scoring leads. If Ottawa can lock him up, Pittsburgh’s attack could have a tough time creating on its own.

“That’s what has got us here,” forward Jason Spezza told reporters. “We’re not going to outrun and gun Pittsburgh. We’ve got to make sure we play a smart game.”

The last time these teams met, the Senators did a fine job limiting Crosby to just three shots on goal and a plus/minus of -2 during a 4-1 win back in late January.

Pick: Under


Detroit Red Wings at Phoenix Coyotes (-110, 5)

Hockey fans can expect the Phoenix Coyotes to be holding the sticks a little tight when they take the ice for Game 1 Wednesday night.

Phoenix is coming off a Cinderella season in which it won 50 games – a new franchise record – and is in the NHL playoffs for the first time since 2002. Despite being the No. 4 seed, the Coyotes are considered the underdogs against the postseason-savvy Detroit Red Wings in the opening round.

"That's who we've been all year," Coyotes coach Dave Tippett told CBC Sports of his team’s underdog status. "From the first day I got here, people looked around like, 'What are you doing?' That's how we've been able to thrive all year, so why would it change now?"

With the pressure of the playoffs overwhelming even the most veteran team, expect the desert dogs to bobble a couple pucks, miss a couple passes and fan on a couple shots during the first two periods.

Pick: Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL Round 1 Previews and Picks

NHL Eastern Conference: Round 1 preview and picks

Washington Capitals (1) vs. Montreal Canadiens (8) – season series (2-1-1 for Washington)

Expect a bunch of goals in this series. Both teams put everything at the net and neither have the goaltending to win 2-1 games. Ovechkin gets all the headlines, but it’ll be Nicklas Backstrom who gives the Caps the boost they’ll need.

The Canadiens limped into the postseason and don’t have the makeup to compete with Washington, especially when the Caps get the puck deep and start circling and cycling.

Hal Gill and the rest of the Montreal defense are going to have a terrible time chasing the puck in their own end and the team’s under-sized forward unit will need a lot of power play goals to make this series interesting.

Pick: Capitals in five games


New Jersey Devils (2) at Philadelphia Flyers (7) – season series (5-1 for Philadelphia)

You can’t knock Philadelphia’s intensity. The Flyers hung on down the stretch of the regular season and look to overcome some questionable goaltending (what else is new?) with gritty play, leaning on their big defense. They’ll have their hands full, too.

Don’t be surprised if Ilya Kovalchuk takes hold of this series, his first taste of NHL playoff hockey. The Devils have enough depth up front that he doesn’t feel like he needs to do everything for this club and everybody seems to be gelling in the dressing room. He might be just what New Jersey needs to help Brodeur make another deep run.

Pick: Devils in six games


Buffalo Sabres (3) vs. Boston Bruins (6) – season series (4-1 for Boston)

The Bruins are a tough read here. Injuries have ripped this team apart, rookie goalie Tuukka Raask has emerged to put reigning Vezina Trophy winner Tim Thomas on the bench and Boston’s offense has been terrible all year. So there are some question marks with the Bruins.

Buffalo, meanwhile, has one constant: goaltender Ryan Miller, a Hart Trophy candidate this season. Miller can win this series on his own if it comes down to it.

Keep an eye on the totals for this series. We could be in for a lot of unders.

Pick: Buffalo in four games


Pittsburgh Penguins (4) vs. Ottawa Senators (5) – season series (2-2 tie)

It’d be easy just to pencil Pittsburgh past the Sens, but Sidney Crosby’s club has some work ahead of it. Jason Spezza shook off a bad start to the season to finish strong and Daniel Alfredsson continues to roll along as one of the better captains in the league.

Ottawa will need both of those guys to step up huge with the enigma Alex Kovalev on the shelf. Meanwhile, Brian Elliott is holding the fort in goal, or was during the regular season anyway. This will be his first taste of the postseason.

The Pens look to be rounding into form just in time for the start of this series. Evgeni Malkin’s really hitting his stride over the last week or two (remember, he topped the playoff scoring board last year) and Jordan Stall is as steady as ever. This is the best team down the middle in the league, which means a lot this time of year.

Pick: Penguins in five games



NHL Western Conference: Round 1 preview and picks

The Western Conference was the superior conference this season with seven teams earning at least 100 points.

Each team, however, has its own set of issues, whether it is a rookie goaltender (Chicago, Detroit), a lack of offense (Phoenix, Nashville), a banged up defense (Vancouver), inexperience (Los Angeles, Colorado), or a playoff curse (Joe Thornton, err, I mean San Jose).

To be used strictly for recreational purposes, here are my picks for each series.

Avs vs. Sharks (season series 2-2)

According to oddsmakers, this is the most lopsided matchup of the first round.

The Avs ended October 10-2-2 and goaltender Craig Anderson was named the player of the month.

Since then, Colorado has gone 33-28-7 and ended the season 3-7-3 over its final 13 games.

San Jose placed first in the Western Conference with a 51-20-11 record and finished the regular season on an 8-1-1 run.

San Jose has depth on offense and defense, and a top tier goaltender in Evgeni Nabokov. Every year, however, they falter in the playoffs.

The Sharks, and particularly Joe Thornton, seem to lack the confidence in the postseason that they exhibit during the regular season.

San Jose may not win the Stanley Cup this year, but they should get by the Avalanche with ease.

Series prediction: Sharks in 5.


Preds vs. Hawks (season series, 4-2 Chicago)

Nashville was not expected to make the playoffs, but has put together a solid regular season. The Preds also finished strong, ending the season on an 11-3-1 run.

Chicago is relying on rookie Antti Niemi to lead the way between the pipes. The 26 year-old won the starting job from Cristobal Huet and has posted seven shutouts in 34 games.

If the Preds have any chance to win this series, it will be because of Pekka Rinne. He will steal one, maybe two games, but the Preds will come up just short.

Series prediction: Hawks in 6.


Kings vs. Canucks (season series, 3-1 Vancouver)

Vancouver went from 11th in NHL scoring last year to being the top offensive team in the Western Conference. Defense and goaltending are the concerns for the Canucks.

The Canucks’ defensive corps is banged up and All-Star goaltender Roberto Luongo is having his worst season statistically since joining Vancouver. Luongo ended the season by allowing 17 goals in four games, and gave up at least three goals in seven of Vancouver’s final eight games.

Los Angeles has quietly amassed 101 points and has a mix of young stars and accomplished veterans. The Kings will continue to surprise, and will improve as the series with the Canucks progresses.

Series prediction: Kings in 7


Wings vs. Coyotes (season series 2-2)

Most people will be picking the Red Wings in this series, and it’s difficult to blame them.

The Wings ended the season on a tear, winning 17 of their last 22 games. They are finally healthy and have found a solution in net: rookie goaltender Jimmy Howard.

Because of Detroit’s perennial success and recent streak, it’s easy to forget the club is playing a team that won 50 games this season and finished ahead of them in the standings.

Phoenix is used to playing close games. The Coyotes won 29 times by one goal. Goaltender Ilya Bryzgalov has had a phenomenal season, and Phoenix found scorers in trade deadline acquisitions for Wojtek Wolski and Lee Stempniak.

I think the right play is on the Coyotes.

Series prediction: Coyotes in 7

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 422-281 (.600)

Eastern Conference Playoffs, 1st Round
Game 1, best-of-7 series
Philadelphia vs. NEW JERSEY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
PITTSBURGH 4, Ottawa 3
Western Conference Playoffs, 1st Round
Game 1, best-of-7 series
SAN JOSE 4, Colorado 3
PHOENIX 3, Detroit 2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees (-220, 10)

A key element that used to win Mike Scioscia division crown after division crown was a strong bullpen. Scott Shields was once the most coveted reliever in all of baseball but it appears those days are gone.

Through eight games, the Angels bullpen has registered a 5.48 ERA. It was responsible for a total of four runs in Tuesday’s loss to the Yankees.

Javier Vasquez will take the mound for New York on Wednesday and his last outing was a forgettable one after giving up eight earned runs on eight hits in 5.2 innings of work. He admitted he “made a lot of mistakes.”

Vasquez isn’t having nearly the success he did with the Braves last season and the switch to AL lineups has contributed to his ballooned 12.71 ERA on the season.

New York’s potent batting order is averaging more than six runs a ballgame which has produced a 6-1 over/under mark in the team’s first seven outings.

Pick: Over


Texas Rangers at Cleveland Indians (-105, 8)

The Rangers gave away two wins already this season because of the ineptness of former closer Frank Francisco. The team will hand the ball to another former reliever, C.J. Wilson, on Wednesday in his second start of the season.

Wilson made his first start since 2005 last week against the Jays and was impressive after going seven shutout innings and only surrendering five hits.

"You can't say enough about what C.J. did," manager Ron Washington told MLB.com. "He moved his fastball around, had his changeup and slider, he had everything working. When he needed to, he was able to bear down and get the job done."

Now that the Rangers have their closer situation shored up with fireballer Neftali Feliz finishing games, expect this team to go on a run.

Texas has taken six straight and nine out of the last 10 games from the Tribe

Pick: Rangers

 

[ugk]

BIGFELLA SPORTS

MLB
7* Colorado Rockies -1.5 +115
5* LA Angels +185
4* Tampa Bay Rays -136
3* Houston Astros +205 Comp
3* Atlanta Braves -141
3* Arizona Diamondbacks +180

NHL
3* Ottawa Senators

NHL 4.15.2010
4* Montreal Canadiens +235
4* Boston Bruins +150

 

[ugk]

GOLD COIN SPORTS
THE MONARCH
Atlanta Braves -134 (Tommy Hanson)(2 units) @ San Diego Padres

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the White Sox Tuesday night.

Wednesday it's the Flyers. The deficit is 210 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
432 - 311 run 59 %

Bonus Play WED Fla Marlins -125

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Straight Up: 809-347 (.700)
ATS: 618-574 (.518)
ATS Vary Units: 1451-1361 (.516)
Over/Under: 590-610 (.492)
Over/Under Vary Units: 771-794 (.493)

ATLANTA 99, Cleveland 97
BOSTON 97, Milwaukee 93
CHARLOTTE 98, Chicago 93
DALLAS 101, San Antonio 99
HOUSTON 108, New Orleans 100
MIAMI 102, New Jersey 86
MINNESOTA 102, Detroit 101
OKLAHOMA CITY 109, Memphis 99
ORLANDO 108, Philadelphia 89
TORONTO 112, New York 106
Indiana 103, WASHINGTON 101
L.A. Lakers 104, L.A. CLIPPERS 95
PORTLAND 114, Golden State 101
UTAH 113, Phoenix 109

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS ADVISORS

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 14

NBA

San Antonio (50-31, 44-36-1 ATS) at Dallas (54-27, 36-44-1 ATS)

Two Texas rivals wrap up regular-season play when the Mavericks try to lock down the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference as they welcome the Spurs to the American Airlines Center in a possible first-round playoff preview. Dallas, which has already wrapped up the Southwest Division title, can secure the No. 2 seed with a win over the Spurs tonight or a Utah loss at home to Phoenix. The Spurs are tied with Portland for the No. 6 spot in the Western Conference, but will fall to seventh – and face Dallas in the opening round – if they lose tonight. San Antonio is 6-2 SU and ATS in its last eight games and secured its 11th consecutive 50-win season with Monday’s 133-111 beatdown of Minnesota, easily covering as a whopping 14½-point road chalk. Going back to the end of February, the Spurs have won 18 of their last 25 games, going 18-6 ATS in the last 24, and during their current 6-2 surge, they’ve put up 107.9 ppg and allowed just 98 ppg. Although San Antonio has won five of its last seven road games (both SU and ATS), it is just barely above .500 on the highway this year at 21-19 (20-20 ATS). Dallas has won four in a row and seven of nine, both SU and ATS, including a three-game sweep of its just-completed West Coast road trip. On Monday night, the Mavs drubbed the depleted Clippers 117-94 laying a hefty 11½ points. Dallas has averaged 110.4 ppg on stout 50.3 percent shooting in its last five starts, nearly 14 ppg better than its foes (96.8 ppg on 45.6 percent shooting). Also, the Mavs – one of the worst pointspread teams all season – have cashed in four straight games for the first time since mid-November. Dallas is 5-1 SU and ATS in the last six meetings in this Southwest Division rivalry, winning and cashing in each of the past two contests. Most recently, the Mavs won 112-103 as a 4½-point road pup on Jan. 8. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and the underdog is on a 19-9 ATS roll. Dallas has also cashed in the last four battles at the American Airlines Center. The SU winner has covered the pointspread in San Antonio’s last 20 games in a row (including 11 straight on the road), and the winner has cashed in each of Dallas’ last 11 contests (including six straight at home). Additionally, the SU winner has gotten the money in the last 13 clashes in this rivalry. The Spurs are on a bundle of ATS tears, including 18-6 overall, 10-4 on the highway, 7-1 after a day off, 6-1 against winning teams and 12-3 in the West. The Mavericks are on ATS upswings of 5-1 after either a SU or an ATS win and 5-1 after a day off, but they’ve also gone a putrid 6-28-1 ATS in the last 35 at home. The over is 6-1 in Dallas’ last seven against winning teams and 4-1 in its last five divisional contests, though the over has hit in five of the Mavs’ last six at home. The under is also 5-1-1 in San Antonio’s last seven roadies, but the over is 6-2 in the Spurs’ last eight division outings. Finally, in this rivalry, the total has gone high in six of the last nine clashes, with the Jan. 8 meeting soaring over the 194½-point price following a two-game “under” run.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DALLAS


Chicago (40-41, 41-38-2 ATS) at Charlotte (44-37, 44-36-1 ATS)

The Bulls, looking to snag the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, travel to Time Warner Cable Arena to cap the regular season against the Bobcats, who already have a postseason spot locked up. Chicago outlasted Boston 101-93 on Tuesday, cashing as a 4½-point home favorite. With the win, the Bulls moved a full game ahead of Toronto for the eighth and final playoff berth in the East. Therefore, they’ll head to the postseason for the second year in a row and fifth time in the last six years with a victory at Charlotte or a Toronto home loss to the Knicks. However, if the teams end up tied, the Raptors will get the playoff spot by virtue of a tiebreaker. The Bulls are 9-4 in their last 13 games which follows an ugly 10-game losing skid. They’re also 11-5 ATS in their last 16, and they’ve also rebounded from a six-game road losing streak (2-4 ATS) to win four of five on the highway (SU and ATS). Charlotte has won four of five and six of its last eight, though it has gone just 3-5 ATS in that stretch. On Monday night, the Bobcats dropped the hapless Nets 105-95 as a 4½-point road chalk to halt a three-game ATS skid. Charlotte, which has qualified for the postseason for the first time since the franchise was reborn the Bobcats, will be the No. 7 seed in the Eastern Conference and face defending conference champ Orlando in the first round. The Bobcats have been sensational at home this year, winning 31 of 40 games (23-17 ATS) – including the last four in a row (2-2 ATS) – and they outscore visitors by exactly seven ppg (98.6-91.6).
The home team has won the last six meetings in this series (3-3 ATS). Chicago has cashed in the last two battles (1-1 SU) after a five-game ATS run by Charlotte (3-2 SU). On April 3, Chicago won 96-88 as a 4 ½-point home favorite. The underdog, though, is 5-2 ATS in the last seven matchups, and the visitor has cashed in three of the last four. The Bulls are on ATS upswings of 6-1 on the road, 12-4 on the highway against teams with a winning home record and 4-1 when going on no rest, but they are also 11-28 in their last 39 contests against the Southeast Division. The Bobcats are on ATS purges of 2-5 overall and 0-5 against the Central Division, though they’ve gone 4-1 ATS in their last five Wednesday games. Chicago is on “under” runs of 10-4 overall, 8-2 against Southeast Division foes and 9-3 in Eastern Conference games, but the over is 11-5 in the Bulls’ last 16 games when playing on the second of back-to-back nights. Charlotte is on “over” stretches of 4-1 overall, 7-2 at home and 4-1 on Wednesday, though the total has stayed low in nine of the Bobcats’ last 12 when returning from a day off. Finally, the over had hit in three in a row and four of five in this rivalry before the Bulls’ 96-88 home win earlier this month landed just short of the 186-point price.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


Phoenix (53-28, 47-33-1 ATS) at Utah (53-28, 49-28-3 ATS)

Two teams that are part of the four-way race logjam near the top of the Western Conference playoff standings collide when the scorching-hot Suns travel to EnergySolutions Arena to face the Jazz in the regular-season finale. Phoenix hosted Denver on Tuesday and cruised to a 123-101 victory, easily covering as a five-point home favorite. With the win, the Suns moved to 13-2 in their last 15 games (10-4-1 ATS). With the victory, Phoenix assured itself of at least the No. 4 seed in the upcoming playoffs, meaning it will have home-court advantage in the first round. With a victory tonight, the Suns would move to the No. 3 slot and host either the Trailblazers or Spurs in the first round. A lost would give Phoenix the No. 4 seed and ensure a first-round matchup with the Nuggets. Utah returns home after Tuesday’s 103-94 victory at Golden State, barely covering as an eight-point road favorite. The Jazz are 9-3 in their last 12 contests (7-5 ATS), and their playoff situation is quite cloudy. If Utah beats Phoenix tonight, it will at least claim the Northwest Division title and No.3 seed in the West. But if the Jazz win and the Mavericks lose at home to the Spurs, Utah will shoot up to the No. 2 slot. A loss tonight would relegate the Jazz to the No. 5 seed and cost them the home-court edge in the first round. The Suns have followed up a season-best six-game road winning streak (4-2 ATS) in which they averaged 117.3 ppg by dropping their last two as a visitor (SU and ATS), scoring just 98 and 91 points in the two defeats. For the season, Phoenix is 21-19 on the road (22-18 ATS), averaging exactly as many points per game (108) as they’ve given up.
The Jazz enter this one riding a 10-game home winning streak and they’ve won 32 of 40 at Energy Solutions Arena this year, going a stellar 26-12-2 ATS. Utah has also outscored visitors by just over 10 ppg this season, averaging 108.2 ppg on solid 51.5 percent shooting, while allowing 98.1 ppg on 44.3 percent shooting. Phoenix topped Utah 110-100 as a 5½-point home chalk on March 19, ending a three-game SU run (2-1 ATS) by the Jazz in this rivalry. Utah is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 clashes, with the home team winning eight of those 10 contests. The Suns sport nothing but positive ATS streaks, including 24-9-1 overall, 11-5 on the road, 14-5 against teams with a winning percentage above .600, 4-0 on Wednesday and 18-7-1 in Western Conference action. The Jazz are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight starts against winning teams, but are otherwise on spread-covering rolls of 31-13-3 overall, 23-8-2 at home, 5-1 coming off a road trip of seven or more days, 5-1 when playing on back-to-back nights and 21-9-2 against Western Conference foes. Additionally, the Jazz and Suns rank second and third, respectively, in the overall pointspread standings.
The over has hit in six of the last eight meetings in this rivalry, and Phoenix is on “over” upticks of 3-0-1 when playing on no rest, 7-2 against winning teams and 31-14 on Wednesday, while the total has also gone high in six of Utah’s last eight against winning teams. On the flip side, the Suns are on “under” runs of 4-1 against the Northwest Division and 5-3 in the Western Conference, and the Jazz carry “under” streaks of 4-0 on the second night of a back-to-back and 4-0-1 against Pacific Division foes.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UTAH


NATIONAL LEAGUE

Arizona (4-3) at L.A. Dodgers (3-4)

The Dodgers continue a three-game home series against the division-rival Diamondbacks when they send Chad Billingsley (1-0, 1.69 ERA) to the hill opposite Arizona’s Rodrigo Lopez (1-0, 1.50). Los Angeles opened its 2010 home schedule with Tuesday’s 9-5 win over Arizona, getting home runs from Manny Ramirez, Casey Blake, Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier. Going back to the second game of last year’s National League Championship Series, the Dodgers are still in a 3-7 funk, but nine of those contests were on the road prior to Monday’s home opener. At Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles has won six of its last seven, including going 5-0 at home against right-handed starters. Arizona, which started the season with a 4-2 homestand, is now just 8-22 in its last 30 road games, including 5-17 on the road against right-handed starters. The DBacks have also dropped four in a row in the second game of a series. The Dodgers won 11 of the 18 meetings with Arizona last year, and going back to 2008, they’re on a 17-7 roll in this rivalry, going 12-3 in the last 15 clashes at Dodger Stadium. Lopez’s DBacks debut was a success, as he held the Pirates to a run on six hits over six innings, rolling to a 9-1 home victory. The veteran right-hander pitched in just seven big-league games last year, all with Philadelphia, going 3-1 with a 5.70 ERA, and he’s made just 21 major-league appearances since the start of 2007. He’s faced the Dodgers five times (four starts), going 1-2 with a 3.18 ERA, including 0-1 with a 4.00 ERA in two games (one start) in Los Angeles. Billingsley struggled in the second half of last season, going 3-7 with a 5.20 ERA in 13 starts after the All-Star break, but he had a strong 2010 debut Thursday, limiting the Pirates to one run on five hits in 5 1/3 innings en route to an easy 10-2 road victory. Still, the Dodgers are just 2-6 in Billingsley’s last eight starts dating to last year and 2-5 in his last seven at home, but they’ve taken 13 of his last 18 outings versus the A.L. West. Billingsley went 8-6 with a 4.01 ERA in 16 games (15 starts) at Dodger Stadium last year, and he was 1-1 with a 3.50 ERA in three starts against Arizona. For his career, the right-hander is 7-5 with a 3.35 ERA in 15 games (13 starts) against the Diamondbacks. L.A. won four of the last five matchups, with Billingsley pitching at least six innings in all five games (2.59 ERA). Arizona has stayed low in six of seven on Wednesday and eight of 10 on the road against right-handed starters. Meanwhile, L.A. has topped the total in five straight overall and five of six versus right-handed starters, but otherwise the under is 10-2-2 in its last 14 on Wednesday, and with Billingsley on the mound, the under is on runs of 5-2-1 overall and 4-0-2 on Wednesday. Finally, even though Monday’s game soared over the posted total of 7½ the under is 11-4-3 in the last 17 battles in this rivalry, including 4-1-1 in the last six at Dodger Stadium.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS and UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Chicago White Sox (3-5) at Toronto (6-2)

One day after Blue Jays lefty Ricky Romero nearly twirled a no-hitter, Toronto sends Brandon Morrow (0-0, 9.00) to the hill in the third game of a four-game set against the White Sox, who will counter with lefty John Danks (0-0, 1.50) at the Rogers Centre. Romero took a no-hitter into the eighth inning Tuesday, but he hit A.J. Pierzynski with a pitch to open the frame then gave up a two-run homer to former Blue Jay Alex Rios. Romero was lifted after the homer and finished giving up the two runs on one hit while walking two and striking out 12. Toronto, which lost Monday’s series opener 8-7 in 10 innings, is now on positive runs of 8-2 dating to the end of last season, 5-2 versus southpaw starters and 5-1 in the third game of a series. The White Sox had a modest two-game winning streak halted last night, and they’re now just 3-15 in their last 18 games against the Blue Jays and 1-11 in their last 12 battles in Canada. Additionally, Chicago is in slumps of 9-19 on the road against right-handed starters, 7-20 in the third game of a series and 1-4 on Wednesday. Danks gave up two runs (one earned) on eight hits in six innings Friday against the Twins, but it wasn’t good enough as Chicago fell 4-3 at home. The southpaw has pitched at least six innings and surrendered three earned runs or fewer in nine of his last 11 outings, but Chicago is just 5-6 during this stretch (1-4 in the last five). On the positive end, the Pale Hose are 4-1 in Danks’ last five versus A.L. East clubs and 5-2 in his last seven Wednesday efforts. Danks was actually better on the road last year (8-4, 3.26 ERA) than at home (5-7, 4.48 ERA). However, like his team, Danks has struggled against Toronto, going 0-2 with a 7.11 ERA in three career starts, all in Canada. He lost 4-3 in 2007, 5-2 in 2008 and 8-3 in 2009. Morrow got torched for five runs on four hits and five walks in five innings in his Blue Jays debut on Friday in Baltimore. However, his offense bailed him out, as Toronto rallied for a 7-6 victory. The right-hander spent his first three big-league seasons in Seattle, pitching mostly in relief (132 appearances but just 16 starts). He’s doesn’t have a decision in six career appearances (one start) against the White Sox, allowing three runs (two earned) in 10 innings (1.80 ERA).
Morrow also has pitched a total of five scoreless innings in five appearances at the Rogers Center, allowing just one hit, walking three and striking out seven. It’s been all “unders” for the White Sox lately, including 35-16-2 overall, 35-16-2 on the road, 20-6-1 as a road underdog, 11-5 versus the A.L. East, 22-5-1 on Wednesday and 35-16-3 against right-handed starters. Also, with Danks hurling, the under is on runs of 9-3 overall and 4-1 on the road. Meanwhile, Toronto is on “over” stretches of 6-2-1 at home, 6-2-1 as a favorite, 5-1 against the A.L. East and 9-4-2 against left-handed starters. Also, the over is 6-2 in Morrow’s last eight starts going back to last season with the Mariners. Lastly, the over is 8-4 in the last 12 meetings in this rivalry, though the under is still 8-3 in the last 11 clashes at the Rogers Centre, with Tuesday’s contest falling short of the posted total.


ATS ADVANTAGE: TORONTO

 

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SUPER POGODAK

Cercle - Mechelen
Bet on Cercle @2.15

Molde - Stromsgodset
Bet on Molde @1.80

Fulham - Stoke
Bet on Fulham @2.05

Luzern - Sion
Bet on Luzern @2.00

Schwanenstadt - Mattersburg
Bet on Schwanenstadt @1.90

Zalaegerszeg - Ujpest
Bet on Zalaegerszeg @2.25

Westerlo - Lokeren
Bet on Westerlo @2.15

AIK - Halmstad
Bet on AIK @1.90

Nafta - NK Domzale
Bet on Nafta @1.90

Start - Odd Grenland
Bet on Start @2.10

 

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Sampicks 4/14
France - Ligue 1 - 19:00 GMT
SOCHAUX - MARSEILLE take MARSEILLE to win

 

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CAPPERS ACCESS
Raptors
Brewers
Rangers

 

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GAMBLERS DATA
Cubs -140

 

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Joe Wiz's Daily Free Pick

Under 8 runs bet. Arizona and Dodgers

 

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Jimmy Boyd

5* Atlanta Braves
3* Washington Wizards

 

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Bulgarian Paid service

Le Mans UC 72 - FC Girondins Bordeaux
Win bet Bordeaux @ 1,65

Roda JC Kerkrade - VVV Venlo
Win bet Roda @ 1,65

RSC Anderlecht - KV Kortrijk:1-1
wins first and second half RSC Anderlecht@ 1,75

Cercle Brügge - Yellow Red KV Mechelen
Win bet Brügge@2,05

Wigan Athletic - Portsmouth FC
Win bet Wigan@ 1,55

 

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DUNKEL NBA

New Orleans at Houston
The Hornets look to take advantage of a Houston team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games as a home favorite from 5 to 10 1/2 points. New Orleans is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockets favored by only 5. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+7 1/2)

Game 501-502: Indiana at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 121.269; Washington 119.949
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 2; 212 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+2); Under

Game 503-504: New York at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: New York 112.046; Toronto 120.607
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 8 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 7 1/2; 217
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-7 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Philadelphia at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 114.880; Orlando 128.208
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 13 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 507-508: New Jersey at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 114.652; Miami 123.579
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 9; 200
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 509-510: Cleveland at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 121.150; Atlanta 124.156
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 3; 198
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 511-512: Milwaukee at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 117.004; Boston 122.976
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 6; 193
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 513-514: Memphis at Oklahoma City
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 114.704; Oklahoma City 122.891
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8; 210
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 515-516: San Antonio at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 122.983; Dallas 127.182
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 4; 199
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 517-518: New Orleans at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 113.055; Houston 117.948
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 5; 220
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 7 1/2; 216 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+7 1/2); Over

Game 519-520: Detroit at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 112.656; Minnesota 114.954
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 521-522: Chicago at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 118.623; Charlotte 117.413
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+2); Over

Game 523-524: Phoenix at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 122.406; Utah 125.683
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 3 1/2; 225
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 525-526: Golden State at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 112.860; Portland 123.562
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 11 1/2; 217
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 7 1/2; 214
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-7 1/2); Over

Game 527-528: LA Lakers at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 117.570; LA Clippers 105.703
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 12; 190
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A